What goes wrong when it goes wrong? Empirical analysis of the timing and reasons for premature apprenticeship terminations in Germany

Andrea Greilinger



This paper empirically investigates whether contractual terminations for various reasons predominantly occur in certain phases of apprenticeship training. With a self-collected data set of apprenticeship firms and former apprentices from the crafts sector, an insight was gained into critical stages during apprenticeship training from two perspectives. Using multinomial logit and probit regression analyses, the results show that contractual terminations in Germany’s dual apprenticeship system because of the apprentices’ educational background and performance in vocational training schools happen at late stages in apprenticeship training. In contrast to this, drop-outs resulting from wrong occupational choices were mainly realized in the probationary period or first apprenticeship year.

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